An Analysis of the Effects of Fuel Subsidy Removal on Cost of Transportation in Northern Nigeria
Downloads
This paper analyses the effects of fuel subsidy removal on transportation costs and its associated socioeconomic consequences in the region. The removal of fuel subsidy in Nigeria has generated significant debate due to its implications for transportation costs and socioeconomic welfare, particularly in Northern Nigeria, where road transport serves as the primary means of movement for people and goods. The study adopted a desk review methodology, relying on secondary data obtained from scholarly publications, government reports, policy documents, and institutional publications. The review revealed that the removal of fuel subsidy resulted in a sharp increase in the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), leading to higher passenger fares, freight charges, and logistics costs. The findings further indicate that rising transportation costs have adversely affected agricultural production, commercial activities, household welfare, and access to healthcare, education, and markets. The policy has also contributed to inflation, declining purchasing power, and increased socioeconomic hardship, particularly among farmers, traders, students, and low-income households. Although fuel subsidy removal is expected to promote fiscal sustainability and improve long-term economic efficiency, the study concludes that its short-term effects have imposed substantial socioeconomic burdens on Northern Nigeria. The paper recommends targeted social protection programmes, investment in transport infrastructure, agricultural support, affordable public transportation, and transparent utilization of subsidy savings to mitigate the adverse effects of the policy while promoting inclusive and sustainable economic development.
[1] Omotosho, B. S. (2019). Oil Price Shocks, Fuel Subsidies and Macroeconomic (In)stability in Nigeria. CBN Journal of Applied Statistics Vol. 10 (2): 1-38.
[2] World Bank. (2022). Nigeria public finance review: Fiscal adjustment for better and sustainable results. Washington, DC: World Bank.
[3] PWC (2023). Fuel subsidy in Nigeria - issues, challenges and the way forward. https://pwcnigeria.typepad.com/tax_matters_nigeria/2023/06/fuel-subsidy-in-nigeria-issues-challenges-and-the-way-forward.html
[4] National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). (2023). Transport fare watch May 2023. Abuja, Nigeria: NBS.
[5] Ejim-Eze, E. (2025). The economics of innovation in Nigeria amidst fuel subsidy removal and high inflation: A systematic review. JBIETM, 1(1), 18–26. https://doi.org/10.69798/94949822
[6] Gumel, B. I. (2026). The impact of fuel subsidy removal and foreign exchange harmonization on SMEs in Nigeria. SEISENSE Business Review, 6(1), 36–66. https://doi.org/10.33215/tyw9t764
[7] Abdul, H., Ekaette, G. E., & Iwuozor, O. M. (2025). Fuel subsidy removal and Nigeria's economic resilience: Implications for growth, inflation, and consumer welfare in a post-subsidy era. FULafia International Journal of Business and Allied Studies, 3(3), 31–46. https://fijbas.org
[8] Coady, D., Flamini, V. and Sears, L. (2015). The Unequal Benefits of Fuel Subsidies Revisited: Evidence for Developing Countries. IMF Working Papers, WP/15/250.
[9] Tewogbade, T. A., Jegbefu Justus-Irabor, E., & Olaleye, F. F. (2026). Strategic planning and business survival in a volatile economy: A case study of Nigeria. Journal of Contemporary Academic Research and Methodologies (JCARM), 1(4), 129–145. https://journal.jcarm.in
[10] Ricardo, D. (1817). On the principles of political economy and taxation. John Murray.
[11] Malthus, T. R. (1798). An essay on the principle of population. J. Johnson.
[12] Mill, J. S. (1848). Principles of political economy with some of their applications to social philosophy. John W. Parker.
[13] Smith, A. (1776). An inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations. W. Strahan & T. Cadell.
[14] Keynes, J. M. (1936). The general theory of employment, interest and money. Macmillan.
[15] Mohammed, S. N., Canice, E. E., & Caleb, R. L. (2025). Coping strategies of Sokoto State informal transport sector operators and government policy responses post fuel subsidy removal in Nigeria. International Journal of Law, Humanities & Social Science, 9(4), 1–22. https://ijlrhss.com
[16] Ikechukwu, E. C., Nwagbala, S. C., & Ezeanokwasa, F. N. (2025). Fuel subsidy removal and performance of SMEs in Anambra State Nigeria. Fuel, 6(4), 585–599. https://www.academia.edu
[17] Sennuga, S. O., Isola, E. O., Bamidele, J., Ameh, D. A. and Olaitan, M. A. (2024). Impact of Fuel Subsidy Removal on Agricultural Production among Smallholder Farmers in Niger State, Nigeria. Journal of Economics, Business Management and Administration, 5 (2): 7-17. https://www.2rsa.org/journals
[18] Akwu, E., & Ayema, S. (2026). 2023 fuel subsidy removal and the small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in Abuja. Impact International Journals and Publications, 2(2), 21–32.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
